ECB Interest Rates: February 2027 on Polymarket: No Change leads at 83%, ahead of 25 bps increase at 16% and 25 bps decrease at 1%. 5 outcomes are listed, $14k has traded on the event, $16k sits in the books; it closes Feb 4, 2027. The week's biggest move is No Change, +9.5 pts. 2 ranked wallets back No Change at an average entry of 72¢. Every smart wallet on No Change on Polynyx ↗
6 ranked wallets bought No Change at 72¢. It’s 83¢ now — +14% on paper.
Track all 6 wallets ↗Each outcome is its own Polymarket market; the odds are its live Yes price, the move is over the past week. Open an outcome for its odds history, the smart money on each side, holders and the tape.
| Outcome | Odds | 7d | Volume | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1No Change | 83% | live | ||
| 225 bps increase | 16% | live | ||
| 325 bps decrease | 1% | live | ||
| 450+ bps increase | 1% | live | ||
| 550+ bps decrease | 1% | live |
Where the proven wallets are positioned and what is trading most right now — every wallet by name, with its entries — the free layer under this dashboard.
Part of the Fed rate decision Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live event, the single markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.