Fed decisions (Sep–Dec) on Polymarket: Hike–Pause–Hike leads at 72%, ahead of Hike–Pause–Pause at 24% and Other at 1%. 9 outcomes are listed, 6 already settled, $571k has traded on the event, $122k sits in the books; it closes Dec 9, 2026. The week's biggest move is Hike–Pause–Pause, +3.5 pts. 3 ranked wallets back Hike–Pause–Hike at an average entry of 66¢. Every smart wallet on Hike–Pause–Hike on Polynyx ↗
Each outcome is its own Polymarket market; the odds are its live Yes price, the move is over the past week. Open an outcome for its odds history, the smart money on each side, holders and the tape.
| Outcome | Odds | 7d | Volume | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Hike–Pause–Hike | 72% | live | ||
| 2Hike–Pause–Pause | 24% | live | ||
| 3Other | 1% | live | ||
| 4Hike–Hike–Hike | 0% | out | ||
| 5Hike–Hike–Pause | 0% | out | ||
| 6Pause–Pause–Hike | 0% | out | ||
| 7Pause–Pause–Pause | 0% | out | ||
| 8Pause–Hike–Hike | 0% | out | ||
| 9Pause–Hike–Pause | 0% | out |
Part of the Fed rate decision Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live event, the single markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.