French Presidential Election First Round Winner on Polymarket: Marine Le Pen leads at 85%, ahead of Jean-Luc Mélenchon at 7% and Christine Lagarde at 3%. 16 outcomes are listed, $114k has traded on the event, $300k sits in the books; it closes Apr 18, 2027. The week's biggest move is Christine Lagarde, +3 pts. 4 ranked wallets back Marine Le Pen at an average entry of 83¢. Every smart wallet on Marine Le Pen on Polynyx ↗
11 ranked wallets bought Marine Le Pen at 83¢. It’s 85¢ now — +2% on paper.
Track all 11 wallets ↗Each outcome is its own Polymarket market; the odds are its live Yes price, the move is over the past week. Open an outcome for its odds history, the smart money on each side, holders and the tape.
| Outcome | Odds | 7d | Volume | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Marine Le Pen | 85% | live | ||
| 2Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 7% | live | ||
| 3Christine Lagarde | 3% | live | ||
| 4David Lisnard | 3% | live | ||
| 5Édouard Philippe | 3% | live | ||
| 6Jordan Bardella | 2% | live | ||
| 7Raphaël Glucksmann | 0% | live | ||
| 8François Hollande | 0% | live | ||
| 9Gabriel Attal | 0% | live | ||
| 10Dominique de Villepin | 0% | live | ||
| 11Bruno Retailleau | 0% | live | ||
| 12Sarah Knafo | 0% | live | ||
| 13Éric Zemmour | 0% | live | ||
| 14Sébastien Lecornu | 0% | live | ||
| 15François Ruffin | 0% | live | ||
| 16Marine Tondelier | 0% | live |
Where the proven wallets are positioned and what is trading most right now — every wallet by name, with its entries — the free layer under this dashboard.
Part of the Election odds Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live event, the single markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.