How many Tesla deliveries in Q4 2026? on Polymarket: 425k to 450k leads at 29%, ahead of 450k to 475k at 24% and 475k to 500k at 18%. 9 outcomes are listed, $20k has traded on the event, $10.0k sits in the books; it closes Mar 1, 2027. The week's biggest move is 525k to 550k, −29.7 pts. 1 ranked wallet back 425k to 450k at an average entry of 15¢. Every smart wallet on 425k to 450k on Polynyx ↗
3 ranked wallets bought 425k to 450k at 15¢. It’s 29¢ now — +94% on paper.
Track all 3 wallets ↗Each outcome is its own Polymarket market; the odds are its live Yes price, the move is over the past week. Open an outcome for its odds history, the smart money on each side, holders and the tape.
| Outcome | Odds | 7d | Volume | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1425k to 450k | 29% | live | ||
| 2450k to 475k | 24% | live | ||
| 3475k to 500k | 18% | live | ||
| 4500k to 525k | 16% | live | ||
| 5400k to 425k | 15% | live | ||
| 6550k to 575k | 6% | live | ||
| 7575k+ | 5% | live | ||
| 8<400k | 3% | live | ||
| 9525k to 550k | 3% | live |
Where the proven wallets are positioned and what is trading most right now — every wallet by name, with its entries — the free layer under this dashboard.
Part of the Fed rate decision Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live event, the single markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.