Who is favored to win Iowa Senate Election Winner on Polymarket?

Ashley Hinson (R), at 54%, ahead of Josh Turek (D) at 48%; $2.0M has traded on the event. Odds are each outcome's live Yes price and re-render every 15 minutes here; a cloned dashboard refreshes on your plan's cadence — every minute on Developer.

What are the odds for each outcome of Iowa Senate Election Winner?

Ashley Hinson (R) 54%, Josh Turek (D) 48%. Every outcome's odds, weekly move and volume are in the table on this page; the prices are the live Yes price of each outcome's own Polymarket market, so they add up to about 100%.

Where does this data come from?

Each outcome's live price, volume and history from Polymarket's public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer for the smart money: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L and positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of the favourite — every smart wallet by name — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones 7 widgets into your account — the odds lines of the two favourites, the smart money and the biggest holders on Ashley Hinson (R), the Elections markets and tape — and publishes as a page of its own.

Politics · Elections · 2 outcomes · live

Iowa Senate Election Winner

Iowa Senate Election Winner on Polymarket: Ashley Hinson (R) leads at 54%, ahead of Josh Turek (D) at 48%. 2 outcomes are listed, $2.0M has traded on the event, $908k sits in the books; it closes Nov 4, 2026. The week's biggest move is Josh Turek (D), +5 pts. 10 ranked wallets back Ashley Hinson (R) at an average entry of 57¢. Every smart wallet on Ashley Hinson (R) on Polynyx ↗

Ashley Hinson (R)
54%
Josh Turek (D)
48%
Ranked wallets
back Ashley Hinson (R)
Mover · 7d
Josh Turek (D) +5 pts

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on Ashley Hinson (R) by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

live

outcomes

$2.0M

volume

$908k

liquidity

Nov 4

closes

Iowa Senate Election Winner · odds race

Odds history

Every outcome by odds

2 outcomes

1Ashley Hinson (R)53.5%
2Josh Turek (D)47.5%

Every outcome

Odds for all 2 outcomes.

Each outcome is its own Polymarket market; the odds are its live Yes price, the move is over the past week. Open an outcome for its odds history, the smart money on each side, holders and the tape.

Outcome	Odds	7d	Volume	Status
1Ashley Hinson (R)	54%	−4 pts	$1.0M	live
2Josh Turek (D)	48%	+5 pts	$1.0M	live

More Politics events

FAQ

Who is favored to win Iowa Senate Election Winner on Polymarket?: Ashley Hinson (R), at 54%, ahead of Josh Turek (D) at 48%; $2.0M has traded on the event. Odds are each outcome's live Yes price and re-render every 15 minutes here; a cloned dashboard refreshes on your plan's cadence — every minute on Developer.
What are the odds for each outcome of Iowa Senate Election Winner?: Ashley Hinson (R) 54%, Josh Turek (D) 48%. Every outcome's odds, weekly move and volume are in the table on this page; the prices are the live Yes price of each outcome's own Polymarket market, so they add up to about 100%.
Where does this data come from?: Each outcome's live price, volume and history from Polymarket's public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer for the smart money: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L and positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of the favourite — every smart wallet by name — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones 7 widgets into your account — the odds lines of the two favourites, the smart money and the biggest holders on Ashley Hinson (R), the Elections markets and tape — and publishes as a page of its own.

Part of the Election odds Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live event, the single markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.