Who is favored to win Minnesota Senate Election Winner on Polymarket?

Peggy Flanagan (D), at 95%, ahead of Michele Tafoya (R) at 7%; $805k has traded on the event. Odds are each outcome's live Yes price and re-render every 15 minutes here; a cloned dashboard refreshes on your plan's cadence — every minute on Developer.

What are the odds for each outcome of Minnesota Senate Election Winner?

Peggy Flanagan (D) 95%, Michele Tafoya (R) 7%. Every outcome's odds, weekly move and volume are in the table on this page; the prices are the live Yes price of each outcome's own Polymarket market, so they add up to about 100%.

Where does this data come from?

Each outcome's live price, volume and history from Polymarket's public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer for the smart money: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L and positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of the favourite — every smart wallet by name — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones 7 widgets into your account — the odds lines of the two favourites, the smart money and the biggest holders on Peggy Flanagan (D), the Elections markets and tape — and publishes as a page of its own.

Politics · Elections · 2 outcomes · live

Minnesota Senate Election Winner

Minnesota Senate Election Winner on Polymarket: Peggy Flanagan (D) leads at 95%, ahead of Michele Tafoya (R) at 7%. 2 outcomes are listed, $805k has traded on the event, $359k sits in the books; it closes Nov 4, 2026. The week's biggest move is Peggy Flanagan (D), +9 pts. Every smart wallet on Peggy Flanagan (D) on Polynyx ↗

Peggy Flanagan (D)
95%
Michele Tafoya (R)
7%
Ranked wallets
none ranked
Mover · 7d
Peggy Flanaga… +9 pts

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on Peggy Flanagan (D) by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

live

outcomes

$805k

volume

$359k

liquidity

Nov 4

closes

Minnesota Senate Election Winner · odds race

Odds history

Every outcome by odds

2 outcomes

1Peggy Flanagan (D)94.5%
2Michele Tafoya (R)6.5%

Every outcome

Odds for all 2 outcomes.

Each outcome is its own Polymarket market; the odds are its live Yes price, the move is over the past week. Open an outcome for its odds history, the smart money on each side, holders and the tape.

Outcome	Odds	7d	Volume	Status
1Peggy Flanagan (D)	95%	+9 pts	$492k	live
2Michele Tafoya (R)	7%	−8 pts	$313k	live

More Politics events

FAQ

Who is favored to win Minnesota Senate Election Winner on Polymarket?: Peggy Flanagan (D), at 95%, ahead of Michele Tafoya (R) at 7%; $805k has traded on the event. Odds are each outcome's live Yes price and re-render every 15 minutes here; a cloned dashboard refreshes on your plan's cadence — every minute on Developer.
What are the odds for each outcome of Minnesota Senate Election Winner?: Peggy Flanagan (D) 95%, Michele Tafoya (R) 7%. Every outcome's odds, weekly move and volume are in the table on this page; the prices are the live Yes price of each outcome's own Polymarket market, so they add up to about 100%.
Where does this data come from?: Each outcome's live price, volume and history from Polymarket's public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer for the smart money: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L and positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of the favourite — every smart wallet by name — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones 7 widgets into your account — the odds lines of the two favourites, the smart money and the biggest holders on Peggy Flanagan (D), the Elections markets and tape — and publishes as a page of its own.

Part of the Election odds Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live event, the single markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.