Who is favored to win Richest person on December 31, 2026? on Polymarket?

Elon Musk, at 97%, ahead of Bernard Arnault at 1%; $2.0M has traded on the event. Odds are each outcome's live Yes price and re-render every 15 minutes here; a cloned dashboard refreshes on your plan's cadence — every minute on Developer.

What are the odds for each outcome of Richest person on December 31, 2026??

Elon Musk 97%, Bernard Arnault 1%, Warren Buffett 1%, Mark Zuckerberg 0%, Jeff Bezos 0%, and 6 more. Every outcome's odds, weekly move and volume are in the table on this page; the prices are the live Yes price of each outcome's own Polymarket market, so they add up to about 100%.

Where does this data come from?

Each outcome's live price, volume and history from Polymarket's public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer for the smart money: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L and positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of the favourite — every smart wallet by name — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones 7 widgets into your account — the odds lines of the two favourites, the smart money and the biggest holders on Elon Musk, the Markets markets and tape — and publishes as a page of its own.

Economics · Markets · 11 outcomes · live

Richest person on December 31, 2026?

Richest person on December 31, 2026? on Polymarket: Elon Musk leads at 97%, ahead of Bernard Arnault at 1% and Warren Buffett at 1%. 11 outcomes are listed, $2.0M has traded on the event, $189k sits in the books; it closes Jan 3, 2027. The week's biggest move is Bernard Arnault, +0.5 pts. 1 ranked wallet back Elon Musk at an average entry of 97¢. Every smart wallet on Elon Musk on Polynyx ↗