US economic state at the end of 2026? on Polymarket: Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%) leads at 86%, ahead of Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%) at 12% and Slack (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation <3.5%) at 0%. 4 outcomes are listed, $134k has traded on the event, $38k sits in the books; it closes Feb 1, 2027. The week's biggest move is Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%), −9.1 pts. Every smart wallet on Overheating (Unempl… on Polynyx ↗
Each outcome is its own Polymarket market; the odds are its live Yes price, the move is over the past week. Open an outcome for its odds history, the smart money on each side, holders and the tape.
| Outcome | Odds | 7d | Volume | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%) | 86% | live | ||
| 2Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%) | 12% | live | ||
| 3Slack (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation <3.5%) | 0% | live | ||
| 4Stagflation (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%) | 0% | live |
Where the proven wallets are positioned and what is trading most right now — every wallet by name, with its entries — the free layer under this dashboard.
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