Who is favored to win VA-05 House Election Winner on Polymarket?

John McGuire (R), at 66%, ahead of Tom Perriello (D) at 36%; $328k has traded on the event. Odds are each outcome's live Yes price and re-render every 15 minutes here; a cloned dashboard refreshes on your plan's cadence — every minute on Developer.

What are the odds for each outcome of VA-05 House Election Winner?

John McGuire (R) 66%, Tom Perriello (D) 36%. Every outcome's odds, weekly move and volume are in the table on this page; the prices are the live Yes price of each outcome's own Polymarket market, so they add up to about 100%.

Where does this data come from?

Each outcome's live price, volume and history from Polymarket's public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer for the smart money: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L and positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of the favourite — every smart wallet by name — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones 7 widgets into your account — the odds lines of the two favourites, the smart money and the biggest holders on John McGuire (R), the Elections markets and tape — and publishes as a page of its own.

Politics · Elections · 2 outcomes · live

VA-05 House Election Winner

VA-05 House Election Winner on Polymarket: John McGuire (R) leads at 66%, ahead of Tom Perriello (D) at 36%. 2 outcomes are listed, $328k has traded on the event, $219k sits in the books; it closes Nov 4, 2026. The week's biggest move is Tom Perriello (D), +1 pts. 3 ranked wallets are fading John McGuire (R) at an average entry of 27¢. Every smart wallet on John McGuire (R) on Polynyx ↗

John McGuire (R)
66%
Tom Perriello (D)
36%
Ranked wallets
fade John McGuire (R)
Mover · 7d
Tom Perriello… +1 pts

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on John McGuire (R) by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

live

outcomes

$328k

volume

$219k

liquidity

Nov 4

closes

VA-05 House Election Winner · odds race

Odds history

Every outcome by odds

2 outcomes

1John McGuire (R)65.5%
2Tom Perriello (D)35.5%

Every outcome

Odds for all 2 outcomes.

Each outcome is its own Polymarket market; the odds are its live Yes price, the move is over the past week. Open an outcome for its odds history, the smart money on each side, holders and the tape.

Outcome	Odds	7d	Volume	Status
1John McGuire (R)	66%	−0.5 pts	$159k	live
2Tom Perriello (D)	36%	+1 pts	$168k	live

More Politics events

FAQ

Who is favored to win VA-05 House Election Winner on Polymarket?: John McGuire (R), at 66%, ahead of Tom Perriello (D) at 36%; $328k has traded on the event. Odds are each outcome's live Yes price and re-render every 15 minutes here; a cloned dashboard refreshes on your plan's cadence — every minute on Developer.
What are the odds for each outcome of VA-05 House Election Winner?: John McGuire (R) 66%, Tom Perriello (D) 36%. Every outcome's odds, weekly move and volume are in the table on this page; the prices are the live Yes price of each outcome's own Polymarket market, so they add up to about 100%.
Where does this data come from?: Each outcome's live price, volume and history from Polymarket's public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer for the smart money: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L and positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of the favourite — every smart wallet by name — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones 7 widgets into your account — the odds lines of the two favourites, the smart money and the biggest holders on John McGuire (R), the Elections markets and tape — and publishes as a page of its own.

Part of the Election odds Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live event, the single markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.