Mohammed bin Salman won. 20 outcomes are listed, 20 already settled, $2.0M has traded on the event; it closed Apr 30, 2026.
Each outcome is its own Polymarket market; the odds are its live Yes price, the move is over the past week. Open an outcome for its odds history, the smart money on each side, holders and the tape.
| Outcome | Odds | 7d | Volume | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Mohammed bin Salman | 100% | won | ||
| 2Vladimir Putin | 100% | won | ||
| 3Emmanuel Macron | 100% | won | ||
| 4Keir Starmer | 100% | won | ||
| 5Ursula von der Leyen | 100% | won | ||
| 6Mark Rutte | 100% | won | ||
| 7Friedrich Merz | 100% | won | ||
| 8Mark Carney | 100% | won | ||
| 9Pope Leo XIV | 0% | out | ||
| 10Nicolás Maduro | 0% | out | ||
| 11Reza Pahlavi | 0% | out | ||
| 12Kim Jong Un | 0% | out | ||
| 13Volodymyr Zelenskyy | 0% | out | ||
| 14Xi Jinping | 0% | out | ||
| 15Yoon Suk Yeol | 0% | out | ||
| 16Maria Corina Machado | 0% | out | ||
| 17Ahmed al-Sharaa | 0% | out | ||
| 18Masoud Pezeshkian | 0% | out | ||
| 19Lula da Silva | 0% | out | ||
| 20Elon Musk | 0% | out |
Where the proven wallets are positioned and what is trading most right now — every wallet by name, with its entries — the free layer under this dashboard.
Part of the Geopolitics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live event, the single markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.