Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Politics · Elections · live

Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?

No 99% · Yes 1%. Smart money leans Yes (3 ranked wallets, average entry 2¢). Volume $157k, liquidity $1.1M. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

No
99%
Yes
1%
Volume
$157k
Liquidity
$1.1M

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

5 wallets · 30,778 known shares

SnowLover7whale
entry 2¢ · all-time +$371k · win 65%
K00ldr4g0nwhale
entry — · all-time +$135k · win 47%
themagicofcinemawhale
entry 1¢ · all-time +$140k · win 66%
merodwhale
entry 99¢ · all-time +$140k · win 37%
korda77whale
entry 99¢ · all-time +$212k · win 40%

No

2 wallets · 34 known shares

More Elections markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?” on Polymarket?: No 99% · Yes 1%, on $157k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?”?: Smart money leans Yes (3 ranked wallets, average entry 2¢). The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Election odds Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?

live

Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Main… · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

98.7%

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Yes31k100%
No340%

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Elections markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win?	None 23% · IA, KS 14% · IA 11%	$6.9M	$49.5M
Which party will win the House in 2026?	Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 5%	$2.7M	$15.8M
Michigan Senate Election Winner	Abdul El-Sayed (D) 81% · Mike Rogers (R) 20%	$1.8M	$897k
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms	Democrats Sweep 71% · Republicans Sweep 5% · D Senate, R House 1%	$1.7M	$13.4M
Nebraska Senate Election Winner	Pete Ricketts (R) 75% · Independent 25%	$773k	$410k
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?	Democratic Party 72% · Republican Party 28%	$563k	$6.4M
Next French Presidential Election	David Lisnard 17% · Christine Lagarde 5%	$467k	$343k
Texas Senate Election Winner	James Talarico (D) 72% · Ken Paxton (R) 28%	$391k	$2.6M

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

Yesbid 1.3¢ask 1.4¢spread 0.1¢mid 1.4¢

SizeBid

AskSize

2.8k1.3¢

1.4¢12k

30k1.2¢

1.5¢26k

3.9k1.1¢

1.6¢701

26k1¢

1.7¢5.9k

1.5M0.9¢

1.9¢5.0k

25k0.8¢

2.1¢409

86k0.7¢

2.2¢17k

78k0.6¢

2.3¢1.1M

21k0.5¢

2.4¢1.2k

33k0.4¢

2.5¢200

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	All-time P&L
BreakTheBank	Yes	1.1M	$10.3M
SnowLover7	Yes	31k	$371k
SnapElectionAvoider	Yes	26k	$232k
Flipadelphia	Yes	16k	$1.0M
sdhyky	Yes	10k	$50k
0x66e7…8bcd	Yes	4k	$139k
0x3ad1…b4c5	Yes	4k	−$13k
SitsToPee	Yes	3k	$63k
TimeTraveler	Yes	2k	$159k
gibsmedats	Yes	1k	−$3k
0xa5ef39	No	1.2M	$0
Haradwaith	No	273	−$421k

Smart-money conviction · Elections

Smart-money conviction

1Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?$145k
2Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?$66k
3Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$49k
4Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?$22k
52026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$26k
6Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?$20k
7Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$18k
8Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$23k
9Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?$14k
102026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House$12k