Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Politics · Elections · live

Will Republicans win Iowa and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?

No 98% · Yes 2%. Volume $255k, liquidity $1.2M. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

No
98%
Yes
2%
Volume
$255k
Liquidity
$1.2M

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

4 wallets · 258 known shares

K00ldr4g0nwhale
entry 49¢ · all-time +$135k · win 47%
123987456
entry — · all-time +$49k · win 41%
bbd113d
entry 0¢ · all-time +$293 · win 50%
ddaasdf
entry 1¢ · all-time −$3 · win 50%

No

1 wallets · 16 known shares

GingerMcKenna
entry 98¢ · all-time +$42k · win 52%

More Elections markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will Republicans win Iowa and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?” on Polymarket?: No 98% · Yes 2%, on $255k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will Republicans win Iowa and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Election odds Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Will Republicans win Iowa and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?

live

Will Republicans win Iowa and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas… · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

98%

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Yes25894%
No166%

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Elections markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win?	None 23% · IA, KS 12% · IA 11%	$7.6M	$53.7M
Which party will win the House in 2026?	Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6%	$1.8M	$16.0M
Michigan Senate Election Winner	Abdul El-Sayed (D) 81% · Mike Rogers (R) 20%	$1.8M	$915k
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms	Democrats Sweep 71% · Republicans Sweep 5%	$832k	$10.2M
Nebraska Senate Election Winner	Pete Ricketts (R) 73% · Independent 28%	$772k	$389k
Texas Senate Election Winner	James Talarico (D) 71% · Ken Paxton (R) 30%	$570k	$2.2M
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?	Democratic Party 72% · Republican Party 28%	$495k	$6.1M
Next French Presidential Election	David Lisnard 18% · Christine Lagarde 5%	$466k	$300k

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

Yesbid 1.5¢ask 2.5¢spread 1¢mid 2¢

SizeBid

AskSize

1861.5¢

2.5¢209

1.1k1.4¢

2.6¢400

11k1.3¢

2.7¢5

5501.2¢

2.8¢617

1.7k1.1¢

2.9¢2.7k

22k1¢

3¢394k

1.4M0.9¢

3.1¢3.6k

6.7k0.8¢

3.2¢207

37k0.7¢

3.3¢1.4k

17k0.6¢

3.5¢815

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	Entry	Invested	All-time P&L
BreakTheBank	Yes	1.2M	1¢	$1k	$10.3M
TimeTraveler	Yes	2k			$159k
fiter	Yes	1k			$53k
cormega	Yes	720	0¢	$1.44	−$7k
0xf27dc	Yes	561	0¢	$1.03	$14k
0x985c40	Yes	480	2¢	$10.89	$10.35
SnapElectionAvoider	Yes	479	1¢	$72.07	$236k
balthazar	Yes	291			$1.2M
K00ldr4g0n	Yes	200	49¢	$401.12	$135k
navber	Yes	170	0¢	$0.34	$671.41
0xa5ef39	No	1.2M			$0
BunCaCham	No	12k	99¢	$12k	−$148k

Smart-money conviction · Elections

Smart-money conviction

1Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?$135k
2Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?$66k
3Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$49k
4Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?$26k
5Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?$23k
6Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$18k
7Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$23k
8Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?$14k
92026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$11k
102026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House$12k