Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Politics · Elections · live

Will Republicans win Kansas and Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?

No 99% · Yes 1%. Volume $84k, liquidity $507k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

No
99%
Yes
1%
Volume
$84k
Liquidity
$507k

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

5 wallets · 4,084 known shares

lpgb
entry — · all-time +$37k · win 35%
K00ldr4g0nwhale
entry — · all-time +$135k · win 47%
jwd103103
entry 1¢ · all-time +$179 · win 36%
merodwhale
entry — · all-time +$132k · win 37%
123987456
entry — · all-time +$49k · win 41%

No

0 wallets

No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet holds this side.

More Elections markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will Republicans win Kansas and Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?” on Polymarket?: No 99% · Yes 1%, on $84k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will Republicans win Kansas and Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Election odds Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Will Republicans win Kansas and Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?

live

Will Republicans win Kansas and Maine, and lose Alaska, Iow… · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

99.4%

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Yes4k100%

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Elections markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win?	None 25% · IA, KS 12% · IA 11%	$5.5M	$32.1M
Which party will win the House in 2026?	Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6%	$1.7M	$13.4M
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms	Democrats Sweep 72% · R Senate, D House 23% · Republicans Sweep 5%	$1.4M	$14.8M
Texas Senate Election Winner	James Talarico (D) 71% · Ken Paxton (R) 30%	$614k	$2.4M
Michigan Senate Election Winner	Abdul El-Sayed (D) 81% · Mike Rogers (R) 19%	$549k	$854k
Next French Presidential Election	David Lisnard 20% · Jean-Luc Mélenchon 13% · Édouard Philippe 12%	$536k	$1.9M
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?	Democratic Party 73% · Republican Party 28%	$462k	$5.3M
Iowa Senate Election Winner	Ashley Hinson (R) 59% · Josh Turek (D) 42%	$454k	$798k

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

Yesbid 0.6¢ask 0.7¢spread 0.1¢mid 0.7¢

SizeBid

AskSize

95k0.6¢

0.7¢9.0k

7.1k0.5¢

0.8¢2.5k

5.3k0.4¢

0.9¢36k

8.2k0.3¢

1¢20k

10k0.2¢

1.1¢20k

1.2M0.1¢

1.2¢700

1.5¢10k

1.7¢2.4k

1.8¢200

2¢12k

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	All-time P&L
BreakTheBank	Yes	1.4M	$10.5M
SnapElectionAvoider	Yes	76k	$236k
TimeTraveler	Yes	18k	$160k
0x66e7…8bcd	Yes	4k	$137k
lpgb	Yes	4k	$37k
anciano	Yes	4k	$45k
RememberAmalek	Yes	3k	$836k
WarriorH	Yes	2k	$221k
Martys	Yes	2k	−$11k
CustomTrader	Yes	2k	−$5k
0xa5ef39	No	1.6M	$0
PPMT	No	5	$18k

Smart-money conviction · Elections

Smart-money conviction

1Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$135k
2Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?$35k
3Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$20k
4Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?$14k
5Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?$10k
6Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?$21k
7Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?$17k
8Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?$8k
9Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$6k
102026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House$6k