What are the odds for “Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?” on Polymarket?

No 98% · Yes 2%, on $34k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.

Who is the smart money on “Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?”?

Smart money leans Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 85¢). The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Crypto · Crypto · live

Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?

No 98% · Yes 2%. Smart money leans Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 85¢). Volume $34k, liquidity $57k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

No
98%
Yes
2%
Volume
$34k
Liquidity
$57k

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

2 wallets · 1,164 known shares

sansui1
entry 85¢ · all-time +$20k · win 51%
Kharekk
entry 2¢ · all-time +$7.1k · win 75%

No

1 wallets · 25 known shares

fwed33
entry 88¢ · all-time −$264k · win 50%

More Crypto markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?” on Polymarket?: No 98% · Yes 2%, on $34k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?”?: Smart money leans Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 85¢). The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Bitcoin Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?

live

Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch? · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

98.1%

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Yes1k98%
No252%

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Crypto markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity	24h change
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	Yes 78% · No 22%	$29k	$17k	-0.8%
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes 99% · No 1%	$19k	$39k	0.2%
Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026?	Yes 5% · No 95%	$13k	$65k
1win FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes 23% · No 77%	$12k	$16k	-4.5%
1win FDV above $30M one day after launch?	Yes 97% · No 3%	$12k	$20k	6.7%
1win FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes 12% · No 88%	$10k	$21k	-0.3%
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	Yes 94% · No 6%	$8k	$9k	8.9%
1win FDV above $70M one day after launch?	Yes 49% · No 52%	$7k	$22k	0.5%

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

Yesbid 1.5¢ask 2.4¢spread 0.9¢mid 1.9¢

SizeBid

AskSize

401.5¢

2.4¢140

311.4¢

2.5¢170

741.3¢

2.8¢270

3721.1¢

3.1¢699

7821¢

3.2¢36

4400.8¢

3.4¢714

2060.7¢

3.5¢187

7200.6¢

3.8¢30

1.3k0.5¢

4.2¢900

4140.4¢

4.3¢744

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	Entry	Invested	All-time P&L
sansui1	Yes	944	85¢	$4.71	$20k
LornaPredicts	Yes	439			$15k
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	339			$193k
spacerr	Yes	300	27¢	$81.00	$2k
ThirdEstate	Yes	258	39¢	$99.74	−$45.36
Kharekk	Yes	220	2¢	$4.57	$7k
0xc7d0…1f8a	Yes	220			$339k
0x61e2a7	Yes	220	45¢	$100.00	$0.00
LonelyScissors	Yes	200			$123.24
SuSuDORIS	Yes	200	3¢	$6.31	−$425.25
Lord1337	No	1k	95¢	$1k	$1k
mrmo00n	No	585	87¢	$596.07	−$2k

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