What are the odds for “Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch?” on Polymarket?

No 98% · Yes 2%, on $81k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.

Who is the smart money on “Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch?”?

Smart money leans Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 39¢). The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Crypto · Crypto · live

Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch?

No 98% · Yes 2%. Smart money leans Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 39¢). Volume $81k, liquidity $28k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

No
98%
Yes
2%
Volume
$81k
Liquidity
$28k

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

4 wallets · 886 known shares

sansui1
entry 39¢ · all-time +$19k · win 52%
hithitfar
entry 27¢ · all-time +$18k · win 58%
ddd1d43
entry 1¢ · all-time +$590 · win 46%
asdf112d
entry 1¢ · all-time +$543 · win 47%

No

0 wallets

No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet holds this side.

More Crypto markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch?” on Polymarket?: No 98% · Yes 2%, on $81k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch?”?: Smart money leans Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 39¢). The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Bitcoin Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch?

live

Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch? · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

98%

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Yes886100%

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Crypto markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity	24h change
Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Yes 99% · No 1%	$613k	$101k	87.4%
Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Yes 1% · No 99%	$27k	$8k	-0.7%
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	Yes 76% · No 24%	$19k	$5k	-2.7%
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes 100% · No 0%	$18k	$43k	0.7%
1win FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes 13% · No 87%	$10k	$19k	-6%
1win FDV above $30M one day after launch?	Yes 92% · No 8%	$9k	$20k	6%
1win FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes 27% · No 73%	$8k	$19k	-1.5%
1win FDV above $70M one day after launch?	Yes 46% · No 54%	$7k	$11k	0.5%

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

Yesbid 1.2¢ask 2.8¢spread 1.6¢mid 2¢

SizeBid

AskSize

401.2¢

2.8¢60

1941.1¢

2.9¢114

1.6k1¢

3.2¢207

2730.8¢

3.5¢95

2100.6¢

3.6¢184

8260.5¢

3.8¢100

4400.3¢

3.9¢2.1k

12k0.2¢

4¢228

28k0.1¢

4.5¢1.0k

4.6¢3.0k

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	All-time P&L
LornaPredicts	Yes	1k	$15k
sansui1	Yes	800	$19k
balthazar	Yes	622	$1.2M
4587	Yes	416	$3k
onepapper	Yes	300	−$734.99
devisok	Yes	300	−$235.91
planktonXD	Yes	247	$140k
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	238	$193k
Dr.PNL	Yes	232	−$500k
Flaner	Yes	183	−$185k
zisone	No	2k	$183.13
Hyperlong	No	905	−$40k

Smart-money conviction · Crypto

Smart-money conviction

1Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?$40k
21win FDV above $150M one day after launch?$462.09