No 94% · Yes 6%. Volume $12k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
50 wallets held a position at the close. The 16 biggest winners took $242; the 34 biggest losers gave up $367. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
Part of the Fed rate decision Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap | $1.75–$2.0T 30% · $2.0–$2.25T 21% · $1.5–$1.75T 18% | $102k |
| Anthropic IPO Date | November 20 22% · No IPO by November 30, 2026 19% · November 19 18% | $30k |
| Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? | SpaceX 53% · Anthropic 46% | $29k |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November? | Yes 1% · No 99% | $26k |
| OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap | 1.5T+ 39% · No IPO by December 31, 2027 24% · 1.25T–1.5T 14% | $22k |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes 96% · No 4% | $13k |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | Yes 17% · No 84% | $13k |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? | Yes 5% · No 95% | $12k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 6gtrhtrj8 | Yes | $99.27 |
| GuyFromTinder | No | $44 |
| SDODNDPD | No | $21.95 |
| hokinado | No | $19.80 |
| cactus-test | Yes | $10 |
| LonelyScissors | No | $8.81 |
| lw-mm-lp | No | $8.60 |
| gigigigida | No | $6.40 |
| 0x5f3e… | No | $5.22 |
| rockscorpio | Yes | $4.31 |
| 0x1ef0… | No | $3.48 |
| Malganis | No | $2.92 |