Economics · Markets · live

Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $215 on November 2?

Yes 91% · No 9%. Volume $366, liquidity $580. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

Yes
91%
No
9%
Volume
$366
Liquidity
$580

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $215 on November 2?

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Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $215 on November 2? · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

91.2%

Yes

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Nothing positive to split.

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Markets markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?	SpaceX 57% · Anthropic 43% · OpenAI 0%	$82k	$227k
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	Yes 2% · No 98%	$41k	$51k
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes 18% · No 83%	$28k	$100k
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in November?	Yes 5% · No 95%	$24k	$57k
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?	Yes 6% · No 94%	$24k	$52k
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap	$1.75–$2.0T 31% · $2.0–$2.25T 20% · $1.5–$1.75T 20%	$23k	$101k
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in November?	Yes 3% · No 98%	$19k	$80k
Will Anthropic IPO on November 20, 2026?	Yes 16% · No 84%	$14k	$9k

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

Yesbid 84¢ask 100¢spread 16¢mid 91.9¢

SizeBid

AskSize

684¢

100¢30

8581¢

12281¢

4481¢

9680¢

17480¢

722¢

30022¢

3522¢

51¢

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	Entry	Invested	All-time P&L
Pellepele	Yes	366	100¢	$364.44	$4k
f54940e77	No	246			$7k
LornaPredicts	No	115			$15k
bjprolo	No	5			$13k

Smart-money conviction · Markets

Smart-money conviction

1Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in November?$19k
2Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?$5k
3Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?$4k
4Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in November?$3k
5Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in November?$2k
6Anthropic IPO before 2027?$3k
7Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$925.36
8Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?$848.23
9Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in November?$295.20
10Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?$197.43

More Markets markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $215 on November 2?” on Polymarket?: Yes 91% · No 9%, on $366 of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $215 on November 2?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

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