Who is the smart money on “Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026?”?

Smart money leans Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 30¢). The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Politics · Geopolitics · live

Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026?

No 97% · Yes 3%. Smart money leans Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 30¢). Volume $27k, liquidity $10k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗

No
97%
Yes
3%
Volume
$27k
Liquidity
$10k

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

2 wallets · 417 known shares

BloodyMummerwhale
entry 30¢ · P&L $60k · win 78%
UniLB
entry — · P&L -$582 · win 11%

No

2 wallets · 1,209 known shares

K00ldr4g0nwhale
entry — · P&L $133k · win 47%
random-random123
entry 94¢ · P&L -$1.4k · win 52%

More Geopolitics markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026?” on Polymarket?: No 97% · Yes 3%, on $27k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026?”?: Smart money leans Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 30¢). The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Geopolitics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026?

live

Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026? · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

3.2%

Yes

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Geopolitics markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Title	Outcomes	Volume24h	Liquidity
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?	Benjamin Netanyahu 49% · Gadi Eizenkot 34% · Naftali Bennett 7%	$12.8M	$1.1M
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes 95% · No 6%	$330k	$172k
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes 98% · No 2%	$172k	$125k
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes 91% · No 10%	$147k	$77k
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes 95% · No 6%	$136k	$158k
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	Yes 99% · No 1%	$109k	$42k
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes 27% · No 73%	$98k	$34k
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes 19% · No 82%	$80k	$316k

Smart-money conviction · Geopolitics

Smart-money conviction