Hugo Dellien won. Smart money backed Valerio Aboian (2 ranked wallets, average entry 37¢) and lost. Volume $77k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 73% · R Senate, D House 22% · Republicans Sweep 6% | $6.4M |
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 32% · IA 11% · IA, KS 7% | $4.5M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 96% · Republican Party 6% | $3.2M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 74% · Republican Party 27% | $2.6M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 76% · Ken Paxton (R) 25% | $1.7M |
| Dota 2: potn9ki vs HellNight- (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Group C | potn9ki 50% · HellNight- 50% | $1.6M |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes 0% · No 100% | $1.6M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 79% · Mike Rogers (R) 22% | $1.4M |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x241a… | Hugo Dellien | $3k |
| 0x896d… | Hugo Dellien | $320.87 |
| CandleHammerDrums | Hugo Dellien | $293.64 |
| sweetcaroline | Hugo Dellien | $147.35 |
| VEYROON | Hugo Dellien | $117.84 |
| 0x1eea… | Hugo Dellien | $72 |
| hhhizli | Hugo Dellien | $32.50 |
| Yanis2603 | Hugo Dellien | $30.21 |
| 0x8ab3… | Hugo Dellien | $26.08 |
| eFMBS | Hugo Dellien | $20.04 |
| Gptball | Hugo Dellien | $19.22 |
| warehouse. | Hugo Dellien | $17.57 |
85 wallets held a position at the close. The 34 biggest winners took $3.8k; the 51 biggest losers gave up $11k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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