Luca Van Assche won. Smart money backed Mariano Navone (17 ranked wallets, average entry 34¢) and lost. Volume $411k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 14% · Joe Kent 1% · Brian Kemp 1% | $3.7M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 26% · Josh Shapiro 6% · Andy Beshear 3% | $2.2M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.6M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $1.4M |
| Bucks vs. Celtics | Bucks 4% · Celtics 96% | $844k |
| Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan | Central Michigan 96% · Eastern Michigan 5% | $781k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $762k |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) | Grizzlies 38% · Pacers 63% | $717k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| kkookkoo | Luca Van Assche | $4k |
| 999585 | Luca Van Assche | $4k |
| Woaifacai | Luca Van Assche | $3k |
| 0x49e0… | Luca Van Assche | $2k |
| Kch-Temp | Luca Van Assche | $1k |
| one8tyfive | Luca Van Assche | $1k |
| CandleHammerDrums | Luca Van Assche | $993.80 |
| GC-P | Luca Van Assche | $921.13 |
| bumashuma | Luca Van Assche | $542.75 |
| keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | Luca Van Assche | $500 |
| 1boy | Luca Van Assche | $480 |
| MilesY | Luca Van Assche | $444 |
331 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $25k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $23k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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