Tomas Machac won. Smart money backed Sebastian Baez (3 ranked wallets, average entry 18¢) and lost. Volume $81k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Eagles vs. Commanders | Eagles 34% · Commanders 67% | $3.5M |
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 35% · IA, KS 9% · MI 1% | $3.0M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $2.3M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 71% · Republicans Sweep 6% · D Senate, R House 1% | $1.9M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 72% · Ken Paxton (R) 28% | $1.4M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 79% · Mike Rogers (R) 22% | $1.3M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 73% · Republican Party 28% | $824k |
| Spread: Commanders (-6.5) | Commanders 33% · Eagles 67% | $759k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| k56 | Tomas Machac | $3k |
| WAAAAHHNOO | Tomas Machac | $234.66 |
| Quanttennis | Tomas Machac | $224.24 |
| 0x5ce4… | Tomas Machac | $122.19 |
| CandleHammerDrums | Tomas Machac | $104.66 |
| tradecraft | Tomas Machac | $82.26 |
| Veetu1234 | Tomas Machac | $54 |
| 0x2d2c… | Tomas Machac | $53.43 |
| Eulhunter | Tomas Machac | $51.39 |
| 0x7932… | Tomas Machac | $37.63 |
| xxxzibit | Tomas Machac | $25.00 |
| darkumbreon88 | Tomas Machac | $24.67 |
114 wallets held a position at the close. The 47 biggest winners took $4.2k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $3.5k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.