Yannick Hanfmann won. Smart money backed Felix Balshaw (3 ranked wallets, average entry 53¢) and lost. Volume $88k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
135 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $17k; the 46 biggest losers gave up $6.6k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? | None 23% · IA, KS 14% · IA 10% | $3.6M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 5% | $2.3M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 71% · R Senate, D House 24% · Republicans Sweep 6% | $2.2M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 81% · Mike Rogers (R) 19% | $1.7M |
| Nebraska Senate Election Winner | Pete Ricketts (R) 76% · Independent 25% | $761k |
| Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC | Brighton & Hove Albion FC 40% · Manchester City FC 31% | $722k |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 72% · Republican Party 28% | $616k |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 71% · No change 28% · 50+ bps increase 2% | $579k |