Matthew William Donald won. Smart money backed Marko Bekeni (2 ranked wallets, average entry 5¢) and lost. Volume $24k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? | None 26% · IA, KS 12% · IA 10% | $3.8M |
| Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC | Arsenal FC 69% · Draw (Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC) 25% · Liverpool FC 7% | $1.7M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $1.5M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 70% · R Senate, D House 23% · Republicans Sweep 5% | $1.5M |
| Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 | Over 22% · Under 78% | $1.4M |
| Browns vs. Steelers | Browns 34% · Steelers 67% | $883k |
| Spread: Steelers (-3.5) | Steelers 51% · Browns 49% | $879k |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 70% · Mike Rogers (R) 30% | $781k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| makizinchers | Matthew William Donald | $55.75 |
| ferrariChampions2026 | Matthew William Donald | $43.35 |
| avotrade | Matthew William Donald | $31.24 |
| UpTheBlues | Matthew William Donald | $10.96 |
| Sacrod | Matthew William Donald | $8.98 |
| daritlalifieldnfo | Matthew William Donald | $4.50 |
| TheRomanProcurator | Matthew William Donald | $4.29 |
| temparal | Matthew William Donald | $2.79 |
| MeBetting | Matthew William Donald | $2.43 |
| igot50k | Matthew William Donald | $1.47 |
| 0xe8d8… | Matthew William Donald | $0.62 |
| 0000. | Marko Bekeni | −$145.42 |
17 wallets held a position at the close. The 11 biggest winners took $166; the 6 biggest losers gave up $197. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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