Stefan Kozlov won. Smart money backed Murphy Cassone (9 ranked wallets, average entry 39¢) and lost. Volume $107k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| AEK vs. Real Madrid CF | Real Madrid CF 66% · Draw (AEK vs. Real Madrid CF) 25% · AEK 7% | $6.2M |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 14% · Brian Kemp 1% · Byron Donalds 1% | $3.3M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 23% · Josh Shapiro 5% · James Talarico 2% | $2.1M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.5M |
| Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC | Liverpool FC 51% · Fenerbahçe SK 14% | $1.4M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $1.4M |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 10% · No 91% | $804k |
| SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC | Arsenal FC 77% · SK Slavia Praha 8% | $687k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| ferrariChampions2026 | Stefan Kozlov | $5k |
| TennisAce1 | Stefan Kozlov | $5k |
| RN1 | Stefan Kozlov | $2k |
| MadridTime | Stefan Kozlov | $668.61 |
| xutuu | Stefan Kozlov | $574.46 |
| Notradecopy | Stefan Kozlov | $365.45 |
| VeryLucky888 | Stefan Kozlov | $270 |
| LightParadox | Stefan Kozlov | $147.58 |
| Venusian | Stefan Kozlov | $143.02 |
| Quanttennis | Stefan Kozlov | $118.80 |
| 0x61a6… | Stefan Kozlov | $79.75 |
| Val99977 | Stefan Kozlov | $74.55 |
96 wallets held a position at the close. The 47 biggest winners took $15k; the 49 biggest losers gave up $15k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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