Arthur Fils won. Smart money backed Flavio Cobolli (9 ranked wallets, average entry 4¢) and lost. Volume $806k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 32% · IA 11% · IA, KS 7% | $4.9M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 73% · R Senate, D House 23% · Republicans Sweep 5% | $3.2M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 74% · Republican Party 28% | $2.6M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $2.5M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 80% · Mike Rogers (R) 21% | $1.8M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 76% · Ken Paxton (R) 25% | $1.6M |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes 0% · No 100% | $1.6M |
| Dota 2: potn9ki vs HellNight- (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Group C | potn9ki 53% · HellNight- 47% | $1.2M |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| ChallengerSpecialist | Arthur Fils | $5k |
| FTX2.0 | Arthur Fils | $3k |
| hamlo | Arthur Fils | $1k |
| macintosh85 | Arthur Fils | $895.95 |
| ParklandNetwork | Arthur Fils | $539.87 |
| 0x018e… | Arthur Fils | $506.71 |
| angry007 | Arthur Fils | $353.96 |
| TrajanCapital | Arthur Fils | $333.83 |
| 0xa0f2… | Arthur Fils | $262.27 |
| Onedayonedollar | Arthur Fils | $245.07 |
| ADASFWEGW | Arthur Fils | $232 |
| farmer112 | Arthur Fils | $231 |
604 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $16k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $25k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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