Flavio Cobolli won. Smart money backed Brandon Nakashima (6 ranked wallets, average entry 62¢) and lost. Volume $930k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
408 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $68k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $54k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? | None 25% · IA, KS 12% · IA 11% | $4.8M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $1.7M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 72% · R Senate, D House 23% · Republicans Sweep 5% | $1.4M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 71% · Ken Paxton (R) 29% | $646k |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 82% · Mike Rogers (R) 19% | $571k |
| Iowa Senate Election Winner | Ashley Hinson (R) 59% · Josh Turek (D) 42% | $454k |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 73% · Republican Party 28% | $437k |
| Next French Presidential Election | David Lisnard 20% · Christine Lagarde 6% | $297k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| CandleHammerDrums | Flavio Cobolli | $18k |
| Luzzzer | Flavio Cobolli | $13k |
| 0x5ce4… | Flavio Cobolli | $7k |
| mntsdxs | Flavio Cobolli | $3k |
| 0x54ba… | Flavio Cobolli | $3k |
| younggenius5868 | Flavio Cobolli | $3k |
| DrStatistics | Flavio Cobolli | $2k |
| Accessdenied17 | Flavio Cobolli | $2k |
| kamloic | Flavio Cobolli | $2k |
| alexdave888 | Flavio Cobolli | $1k |
| Ressacad | Flavio Cobolli | $933.50 |
| manoletemanoletee | Flavio Cobolli | $871.92 |