Tommaso Compagnucci won. Smart money backed Juan Manuel La Serna (6 ranked wallets, average entry 32¢) and lost. Volume $338k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 32% · IA 9% · IA, KS 7% | $4.1M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 72% · R Senate, D House 23% · Republicans Sweep 6% | $2.5M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $2.4M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 73% · Republican Party 28% | $2.3M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 76% · Ken Paxton (R) 25% | $1.4M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 80% · Mike Rogers (R) 21% | $1.3M |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A | Natus Vincere 45% · Team Falcons 56% | $690k |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Katie Volynets vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich | Katie Volynets 21% · Aliaksandra Sasnovich 80% | $652k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| RDXR | Tommaso Compagnucci | $5k |
| darec | Juan Manuel La Serna | $492.63 |
| lastdance67 | Tommaso Compagnucci | $423.67 |
| Limp2026 | Tommaso Compagnucci | $317.04 |
| mztkn2026 | Tommaso Compagnucci | $232.72 |
| 0xmmwhale | Tommaso Compagnucci | $215.00 |
| riitmo | Tommaso Compagnucci | $186.08 |
| 0xcbef… | Tommaso Compagnucci | $170.37 |
| KJ31 | Tommaso Compagnucci | $168.16 |
| 0xe6a5… | Tommaso Compagnucci | $158.91 |
| Gadgetin | Tommaso Compagnucci | $148.93 |
| 0x8468… | Tommaso Compagnucci | $135.62 |
341 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $10.0k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $12k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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