Luciano Darderi won. Smart money backed Dane Sweeny (14 ranked wallets, average entry 24¢) and lost. Volume $374k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 63% · No change 33% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $2.0M |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs | Dplus KIA 28% · Bilibili Gaming 72% | $1.9M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 27% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17% · Kamala Harris 4% | $1.2M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 21% · JD Vance 19% · Kamala Harris 3% | $1.0M |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 38% · Marco Rubio 19% · Pete Hegseth 0% | $591k |
| Spread: Warriors (-6.5) | Warriors 41% · Heat 60% | $569k |
| Jaguars vs. Ravens | Jaguars 79% · Ravens 21% | $566k |
| Magic vs. Suns | Magic 50% · Suns 50% | $558k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| BIess | Luciano Darderi | $869.05 |
| darkumbreon99 | Luciano Darderi | $419.82 |
| Mrl2090 | Luciano Darderi | $380.00 |
| hobo69 | Luciano Darderi | $302.69 |
| madridcurious44 | Luciano Darderi | $268.88 |
| zerokill | Luciano Darderi | $161.27 |
| Heheheh08 | Luciano Darderi | $145.73 |
| PoshGate67 | Luciano Darderi | $43.27 |
| 0xb86c… | Luciano Darderi | $41.56 |
| biancoari | Luciano Darderi | $32.45 |
| DDDSKUN | Luciano Darderi | $25.04 |
| 0x2810… | Luciano Darderi | $25 |
219 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $3.1k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $45k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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