Loann Massard won. Smart money backed Manas Dhamne (6 ranked wallets, average entry 52¢) and lost. Volume $16k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 33% · IA 10% · IA, KS 6% | $10.6M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $7.0M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 74% · R Senate, D House 23% · Republicans Sweep 5% | $6.6M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 75% · Republican Party 26% | $4.4M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 76% · Ken Paxton (R) 25% | $3.8M |
| Manchester United FC vs. AS Roma | Manchester United FC 92% · Draw (Manchester United FC vs. AS Roma) 9% · AS Roma 0% | $3.3M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 77% · Mike Rogers (R) 24% | $1.9M |
| Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Bayern München | FC Bayern München 100% · Draw (Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Bayern München) 1% | $1.6M |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | Loann Massard | $1k |
| CandleHammerDrums | Loann Massard | $950.78 |
| 0x2d2c… | Loann Massard | $320.01 |
| Tacotruck02 | Loann Massard | $225 |
| Val99977 | Loann Massard | $194.02 |
| Irina1972 | Loann Massard | $146.13 |
| rossoftw | Loann Massard | $67.84 |
| Nikitos11190 | Loann Massard | $65.24 |
| daritlalifieldnfo | Loann Massard | $64.61 |
| MatrixAttack | Loann Massard | $56.99 |
| 0xcc11… | Loann Massard | $55.52 |
| Qx12 | Manas Dhamne | $53.22 |
69 wallets held a position at the close. The 36 biggest winners took $3.9k; the 33 biggest losers gave up $3.0k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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