Joao Victor Couto Loureiro won. Smart money backed Felipe de Dios (2 ranked wallets, average entry 11¢) and lost. Volume $17k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 32% · IA 8% · IA, KS 8% | $4.3M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $2.3M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 71% · Republicans Sweep 6% · D Senate, R House 1% | $1.9M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 72% · Republican Party 28% | $1.6M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 74% · Ken Paxton (R) 28% | $1.4M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 79% · Mike Rogers (R) 22% | $1.3M |
| Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A | Legacy 54% · TheMongolz 46% | $781k |
| Next French Presidential Election | David Lisnard 16% · Christine Lagarde 7% · Sarah Knafo 0% | $643k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| thestingsnake | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro | $71.68 |
| CandleHammerDrums | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro | $69.90 |
| hhhizli | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro | $26.08 |
| Mother-Teresa | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro | $10.85 |
| ET65 | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro | $9 |
| 0x1e3b… | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro | $8.94 |
| lgSosa | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro | $5.96 |
| uyu01 | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro | $4.40 |
| alwayscha | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro | $3.60 |
| bahn-cuon-baby | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro | $3.52 |
| UlamTriX | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro | $3.18 |
| Eulhunter | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro | $2.98 |
37 wallets held a position at the close. The 21 biggest winners took $239; the 16 biggest losers gave up $904. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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