Hidalgo/Kestelboim won. Smart money backed Drzewiecki/Matuszewski (1 ranked wallet, average entry 10¢) and lost. Volume $1.1k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 32% · IA 9% · IA, KS 8% | $3.9M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 72% · R Senate, D House 23% · Republicans Sweep 6% | $2.4M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $2.4M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 73% · Republican Party 28% | $2.3M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 74% · Ken Paxton (R) 27% | $1.4M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 79% · Mike Rogers (R) 22% | $1.3M |
| Next French Presidential Election | David Lisnard 16% · Christine Lagarde 8% · Sarah Knafo 0% | $645k |
| Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B | PARIVISION 28% · G2 73% | $636k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| sng888 | Hidalgo/Kestelboim | $58.59 |
| BC-GAME | Hidalgo/Kestelboim | $9.70 |
| lgSosa | Hidalgo/Kestelboim | $6.15 |
| ds.skat | Hidalgo/Kestelboim | $5.94 |
| gefficek | Hidalgo/Kestelboim | $3.17 |
| Kira-night | Hidalgo/Kestelboim | $2 |
| anicruk | Drzewiecki/Matuszewski | −$17.60 |
| Jewbru | Drzewiecki/Matuszewski | −$3 |
8 wallets held a position at the close. The 6 biggest winners took $86; the 2 biggest losers gave up $21. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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