Ivan Dreycopp won. Smart money backed Fermin Tenti (1 ranked wallet, average entry 21¢) and lost. Volume $13k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 77% · R Senate, D House 19% · Republicans Sweep 5% | $7.0M |
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 33% · IA 11% · IA, KS 7% | $5.7M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 96% · Republican Party 5% | $3.6M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 78% · Republican Party 23% | $2.8M |
| Dota 2: potn9ki vs HellNight- (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Group C | potn9ki 50% · HellNight- 50% | $1.6M |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes 0% · No 100% | $1.6M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 79% · Mike Rogers (R) 22% | $1.4M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 76% · Ken Paxton (R) 25% | $977k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| whosay | Ivan Dreycopp | $619.54 |
| 0x4209… | Ivan Dreycopp | $78.40 |
| CandleHammerDrums | Ivan Dreycopp | $63.39 |
| eFMBS | Ivan Dreycopp | $62.77 |
| BBQbenz | Ivan Dreycopp | $55.08 |
| 0x9be8… | Ivan Dreycopp | $24.97 |
| 0xd863… | Ivan Dreycopp | $19.71 |
| Simon971 | Ivan Dreycopp | $14.56 |
| manvsrice42 | Ivan Dreycopp | $13.07 |
| seek333 | Ivan Dreycopp | $12.94 |
| TuttyFruity | Ivan Dreycopp | $9.11 |
| 0xaeb9… | Ivan Dreycopp | $4.35 |
44 wallets held a position at the close. The 23 biggest winners took $1.0k; the 21 biggest losers gave up $945. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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