Masamichi Imamura won. Smart money backed Yanki Erel (8 ranked wallets, average entry 29¢) and lost. Volume $210k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 16% · Brian Kemp 1% · Byron Donalds 1% | $2.5M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 28% · Andy Beshear 4% · Josh Shapiro 3% | $2.0M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 81% · No change 19% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $1.5M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.2M |
| AEK vs. Real Madrid CF | Real Madrid CF 82% · AEK 7% | $955k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 87% | $720k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 18% · JD Vance 15% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% | $454k |
| UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion | Paris Saint-Germain 19% · Galatasaray 0% | $416k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| tennistrader20 | Masamichi Imamura | $17k |
| keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | Masamichi Imamura | $4k |
| Accomplished-Framework | Masamichi Imamura | $4k |
| CandleHammerDrums | Masamichi Imamura | $1k |
| 0x54ba… | Masamichi Imamura | $1k |
| xxxzibit | Masamichi Imamura | $257.30 |
| 7figtc | Masamichi Imamura | $163.71 |
| eFMBS | Masamichi Imamura | $146.82 |
| gavnol | Masamichi Imamura | $144 |
| 0x5f6c… | Masamichi Imamura | $139.40 |
| 0xc1d7… | Masamichi Imamura | $135.36 |
| Arcus-AI | Masamichi Imamura | $100.85 |
111 wallets held a position at the close. The 55 biggest winners took $30k; the 56 biggest losers gave up $4.9k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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