Felix Balshaw won. Smart money backed Jaime Faria (7 ranked wallets, average entry 61¢) and lost. Volume $688k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
425 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $47k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $95k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? | None 25% · IA, KS 12% · IA 11% | $4.8M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $1.7M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 72% · R Senate, D House 23% · Republicans Sweep 5% | $1.4M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 71% · Ken Paxton (R) 29% | $646k |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 82% · Mike Rogers (R) 19% | $571k |
| Iowa Senate Election Winner | Ashley Hinson (R) 59% · Josh Turek (D) 42% | $454k |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 73% · Republican Party 28% | $437k |
| Next French Presidential Election | David Lisnard 20% · Christine Lagarde 6% | $297k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| CandleHammerDrums | Felix Balshaw | $20k |
| ubetteruuuu | Felix Balshaw | $11k |
| 0x0x23kjookhaiuohduoayh8c9 | Felix Balshaw | $3k |
| 1234162 | Felix Balshaw | $3k |
| SALADITO | Felix Balshaw | $898.78 |
| 0x556a… | Felix Balshaw | $891.31 |
| Kangta7373 | Felix Balshaw | $883.20 |
| chiefphi | Felix Balshaw | $770.50 |
| Optiamo | Felix Balshaw | $711.28 |
| BEXim | Felix Balshaw | $460 |
| daritlalifieldnfo | Felix Balshaw | $396.54 |
| oracle91 | Felix Balshaw | $366.67 |