Federico Aguilar Cardozo won. Smart money backed Tomas Farjat (7 ranked wallets, average entry 24¢) and lost. Volume $34k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| AEK vs. Real Madrid CF | Real Madrid CF 59% · Draw (AEK vs. Real Madrid CF) 21% · AEK 19% | $5.7M |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 15% · Brian Kemp 1% · Byron Donalds 1% | $3.3M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 24% · Josh Shapiro 5% · James Talarico 2% | $2.0M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 23% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $1.6M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.2M |
| Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC | Liverpool FC 80% · Fenerbahçe SK 6% | $1.1M |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $777k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | JD Vance 17% · Jon Ossoff 17% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% | $669k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| eweqewweqerwqrewqrwerqweqrwerqwer | Federico Aguilar Cardozo | $2k |
| 01258787xy48487484545122 | Federico Aguilar Cardozo | $885.67 |
| esticamos | Federico Aguilar Cardozo | $241.75 |
| TennisAce1 | Federico Aguilar Cardozo | $160.38 |
| the1prophet | Federico Aguilar Cardozo | $72.35 |
| Deliles | Federico Aguilar Cardozo | $44.01 |
| 0x99ce… | Federico Aguilar Cardozo | $42.98 |
| eFMBS | Federico Aguilar Cardozo | $42.51 |
| TRCM | Federico Aguilar Cardozo | $34.85 |
| tradegoose | Federico Aguilar Cardozo | $25.90 |
| dacthenuac | Federico Aguilar Cardozo | $18.77 |
| daritlalifieldnfo | Federico Aguilar Cardozo | $17.10 |
75 wallets held a position at the close. The 40 biggest winners took $3.4k; the 35 biggest losers gave up $1.6k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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