Jacob Fearnley won. Smart money backed Arthur Nagel (6 ranked wallets, average entry 8¢) and lost. Volume $41k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
LightParadox took +$971 on Jacob Fearnley from 89¢; the biggest loser gave up $626.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Nottingham Forest FC vs. Manchester City FC | Nottingham Forest FC 65% · Manchester City FC 15% | $1.5M |
| LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs | Invictus Gaming 21% · Gen.G 80% | $1.1M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 27% · Gavin Newsom 11% · Abdul El-Sayed 1% | $651k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $638k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 18% · James Talarico 1% | $619k |
| Worlds 2026: Winner | Gen.G 51% · Bilibili Gaming 25% · T1 17% | $617k |
| Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Bologna FC 1909 | Bologna FC 1909 69% · Parma Calcio 1913 6% | $508k |
| New Zealand legislative election winner? | National Party 99% · Labour Party 1% | $506k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| LightParadox | Jacob Fearnley | $970.78 |
| MadridTime | Jacob Fearnley | $201.23 |
| Paul973973 | Jacob Fearnley | $100.64 |
| Venusian | Jacob Fearnley | $73.15 |
| SchruteBucks | Jacob Fearnley | $7.62 |
| VeryLucky888 | Jacob Fearnley | $7.20 |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9 | Jacob Fearnley | $6 |
| sionnach | Jacob Fearnley | $5.18 |
| temparal | Jacob Fearnley | $3.39 |
| 0x40f2… | Jacob Fearnley | $3 |
| ET65 | Jacob Fearnley | $3 |
| joohndoee | Jacob Fearnley | $2.83 |
40 wallets held a position at the close. The 23 biggest winners took $1.4k; the 17 biggest losers gave up $919. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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