Nicolas Kicker won. Smart money backed Bruno Fernandez (11 ranked wallets, average entry 37¢) and lost. Volume $72k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 14% · Joe Kent 1% · Brian Kemp 1% | $3.5M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 26% · Josh Shapiro 6% · James Talarico 3% | $2.0M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.6M |
| 76ers vs. Pistons | 76ers 77% · Pistons 23% | $1.4M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $1.4M |
| Bucks vs. Celtics | Bucks 2% · Celtics 98% | $837k |
| Hawks vs. Wizards | Hawks 81% · Wizards 20% | $835k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $779k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| MadridTime | Nicolas Kicker | $3k |
| Venusian | Nicolas Kicker | $2k |
| LightParadox | Nicolas Kicker | $1k |
| CandleHammerDrums | Nicolas Kicker | $778.69 |
| Limousin | Nicolas Kicker | $749.87 |
| 0x67f3… | Nicolas Kicker | $163.12 |
| arunannaveni | Nicolas Kicker | $43 |
| Allz01 | Bruno Fernandez | $42 |
| hhhizli | Nicolas Kicker | $26.80 |
| .Felipe | Nicolas Kicker | $17.56 |
| nutildah | Nicolas Kicker | $11.76 |
| wall3r | Nicolas Kicker | $9.73 |
89 wallets held a position at the close. The 29 biggest winners took $8.0k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $9.7k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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