Alejandro Davidovich Fokina won. Smart money backed Frances Tiafoe (18 ranked wallets, average entry 53¢) and lost. Volume $984k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 32% · IA 10% · IA, KS 6% | $11.9M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $6.6M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 74% · R Senate, D House 20% · Republicans Sweep 6% | $6.3M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 73% · Republican Party 27% | $3.8M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 73% · Ken Paxton (R) 27% | $3.3M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 79% · Mike Rogers (R) 23% | $1.6M |
| Galatasaray SK vs. VfB Stuttgart | Galatasaray SK 86% · VfB Stuttgart 4% | $1.2M |
| Texas Governor Election Winner | Greg Abbott (R) 64% · Gina Hinojosa (D) 37% | $1.2M |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| CandleHammerDrums | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | $25k |
| 0x760f… | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | $15k |
| 0x17c4… | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | $7k |
| 0x2180… | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | $4k |
| DozorBet | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | $2k |
| vladiva | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | $2k |
| praba84 | Frances Tiafoe | $2k |
| yesmate | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | $1k |
| dapr | Frances Tiafoe | $1k |
| hayabusa2026 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | $1k |
| Carlos10 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | $1k |
| PlatinumGoofy | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | $960.00 |
571 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $76k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $104k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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