Jonas Forejtek won. Smart money backed Ryan Seggerman (5 ranked wallets, average entry 24¢) and lost. Volume $43k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | Ron DeSantis 15% · Brian Kemp 1% · Byron Donalds 1% | $3.3M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 28% · Josh Shapiro 5% · Andy Beshear 4% | $2.1M |
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $1.5M |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $1.2M |
| AEK vs. Real Madrid CF | Real Madrid CF 82% · AEK 7% | $1.2M |
| Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC | Liverpool FC 63% · Fenerbahçe SK 18% | $777k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $722k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 17% · JD Vance 17% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% | $651k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| CandleHammerDrums | Jonas Forejtek | $1k |
| keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | Jonas Forejtek | $759.64 |
| 0x87f7… | Jonas Forejtek | $652.73 |
| Ivan948 | Ryan Seggerman | $549.59 |
| did-i-ask-for-the-physio | Jonas Forejtek | $474.82 |
| Secondary-Nectar-Snap | Jonas Forejtek | $248.95 |
| Mother-Teresa | Jonas Forejtek | $208.62 |
| LongshotLouis | Jonas Forejtek | $161.54 |
| daritlalifieldnfo | Jonas Forejtek | $129.51 |
| goofybot | Ryan Seggerman | $102.76 |
| alfonsopozzo | Ryan Seggerman | $73.96 |
| Playforkeeps | Ryan Seggerman | $57.54 |
85 wallets held a position at the close. The 49 biggest winners took $5.3k; the 36 biggest losers gave up $2.4k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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