Santiago De la Fuente won. Smart money backed Ignacio Monzon (6 ranked wallets, average entry 43¢) and lost. Volume $54k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
RzUSr took +$968 on Ignacio Monzon from 23¢; the biggest loser gave up $2.3k.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 27% · Gavin Newsom 7% · Ro Khanna 2% | $875k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 10% · No 91% | $671k |
| Worlds 2026: Winner | Gen.G 63% · Bilibili Gaming 37% | $609k |
| Next French Presidential Election | Marine Le Pen 46% · David Lisnard 15% · Jean-Luc Mélenchon 14% | $602k |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $416k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 94% · No 7% | $405k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 8% · No 92% | $398k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 25% · No 76% | $387k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| RzUSr | Ignacio Monzon | $967.95 |
| Val99977 | Santiago De la Fuente | $219 |
| Po1yamory | Santiago De la Fuente | $204.95 |
| 0xa0f2… | Santiago De la Fuente | $182.75 |
| gavnol | Santiago De la Fuente | $162.11 |
| username122 | Santiago De la Fuente | $156.79 |
| Paul973973 | Santiago De la Fuente | $147.43 |
| 0xc227… | Santiago De la Fuente | $115.99 |
| 0x1eea… | Santiago De la Fuente | $112.85 |
| Oulu18 | Santiago De la Fuente | $107.67 |
| 0xa182… | Santiago De la Fuente | $104.77 |
| 0x8ab3… | Santiago De la Fuente | $73.88 |
94 wallets held a position at the close. The 43 biggest winners took $3.0k; the 51 biggest losers gave up $5.5k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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