Adrian Andreev won. Smart money backed Massimo Giunta (7 ranked wallets, average entry 59¢) and lost. Volume $13k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 66% · No change 32% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $1.9M |
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań | Sport Lisboa e Benfica 92% · Draw (Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań) 7% · KKS Lech Poznań 2% | $1.5M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 28% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17% · Kamala Harris 4% | $1.1M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 20% · JD Vance 19% · Kamala Harris 4% | $1.1M |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs | Dplus KIA 41% · Bilibili Gaming 59% | $1.0M |
| Magic vs. Suns | Magic 49% · Suns 52% | $529k |
| Spread: Warriors (-6.5) | Warriors 52% · Heat 49% | $466k |
| Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-11-05? | Yes 38% · No 62% | $461k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| LightParadox | Adrian Andreev | $2k |
| Limousin | Adrian Andreev | $1k |
| MadridTime | Adrian Andreev | $832.55 |
| keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | Adrian Andreev | $496.59 |
| AnonymousUsername | Adrian Andreev | $465.00 |
| Venusian | Adrian Andreev | $423.96 |
| Val99977 | Adrian Andreev | $108.57 |
| hhhizli | Adrian Andreev | $73.73 |
| muskmelon2 | Massimo Giunta | $40.49 |
| clownly | Adrian Andreev | $31.50 |
| arunannaveni | Massimo Giunta | $29.00 |
| 0x6318… | Adrian Andreev | $26.51 |
50 wallets held a position at the close. The 24 biggest winners took $5.3k; the 26 biggest losers gave up $2.0k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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