Nuno Borges won. Smart money backed Yannick Hanfmann (9 ranked wallets, average entry 38¢) and lost. Volume $142k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 32% · IA 9% · IA, KS 7% | $4.1M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 72% · R Senate, D House 23% · Republicans Sweep 6% | $2.5M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $2.4M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 73% · Republican Party 29% | $2.3M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 77% · Ken Paxton (R) 25% | $1.5M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 80% · Mike Rogers (R) 21% | $1.3M |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Katie Volynets vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich | Katie Volynets 1% · Aliaksandra Sasnovich 99% | $1.0M |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A | Natus Vincere 46% · Team Falcons 55% | $728k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x2073… | Nuno Borges | $2k |
| halomango | Nuno Borges | $518.37 |
| RodNach | Nuno Borges | $209.20 |
| drwincezar | Nuno Borges | $152 |
| Strt786 | Nuno Borges | $133.00 |
| 0xd85e… | Nuno Borges | $124.78 |
| FrenchCrown | Nuno Borges | $108.86 |
| ATPlegend | Nuno Borges | $97.99 |
| peterdfs | Nuno Borges | $97.58 |
| tabelniy | Nuno Borges | $95.64 |
| ayosussybenny | Nuno Borges | $94.64 |
| Karras4023 | Nuno Borges | $91.77 |
294 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $5.1k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $8.8k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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