Hayden Jones won. Smart money backed Naoki Nakagawa (4 ranked wallets, average entry 29¢) and lost. Volume $44k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
0x99ce… took +$991 on Hayden Jones from 57¢; the biggest loser gave up $1.0k.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $7.5M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 87% · 50+ bps increase 9% · No change 3% | $1.1M |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs | Spirit 60% · FURIA 41% | $558k |
| Pepperdine Waves vs. Oregon Ducks | Pepperdine Waves 41% · Oregon Ducks 59% | $456k |
| Next French Presidential Election | Marine Le Pen 47% · Édouard Philippe 7% · Teddy Riner 2% | $443k |
| Spread: Lions (-2.5) | Lions 53% · Patriots 48% | $403k |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 37% · John McEntee 2% | $400k |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes 8% · No 92% | $386k |
| Will Jensen Huang rejoin NVIDIA by December 31, 2026? | Yes 11% · No 89% | $342k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x99ce… | Hayden Jones | $990.90 |
| 0xa0f2… | Hayden Jones | $620 |
| Souleeer | Hayden Jones | $369.27 |
| kafgijon | Hayden Jones | $341.01 |
| pauleta23 | Hayden Jones | $223.04 |
| has73 | Hayden Jones | $219.45 |
| n1ck10s | Hayden Jones | $189.58 |
| Venusian | Hayden Jones | $147.03 |
| Ruimmr77 | Hayden Jones | $141.16 |
| Sn8383 | Hayden Jones | $106.43 |
| babybells | Hayden Jones | $100.57 |
| CandleHammerDrums | Hayden Jones | $89.36 |
119 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $4.6k; the 57 biggest losers gave up $5.0k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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