Eduardo Ribeiro won. Smart money backed Gustavo Heide (4 ranked wallets, average entry 80¢) and lost. Volume $339k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 32% · IA 9% · IA, KS 7% | $4.1M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 72% · R Senate, D House 23% · Republicans Sweep 6% | $2.5M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $2.4M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 73% · Republican Party 29% | $2.3M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 77% · Ken Paxton (R) 25% | $1.5M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 80% · Mike Rogers (R) 21% | $1.3M |
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Katie Volynets vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich | Katie Volynets 1% · Aliaksandra Sasnovich 99% | $1.0M |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A | Natus Vincere 46% · Team Falcons 55% | $728k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| CandleHammerDrums | Eduardo Ribeiro | $20k |
| Luzzzer | Eduardo Ribeiro | $10k |
| 0xwise | Eduardo Ribeiro | $2k |
| donaldbush | Eduardo Ribeiro | $1k |
| MartyFinklestein | Eduardo Ribeiro | $1k |
| Theraymondo48 | Eduardo Ribeiro | $1k |
| LightParadox | Eduardo Ribeiro | $676.00 |
| Venusian | Eduardo Ribeiro | $589.16 |
| 0x0ebb… | Eduardo Ribeiro | $416.68 |
| Accomplished-Framework | Eduardo Ribeiro | $342.55 |
| luminaarx | Eduardo Ribeiro | $325.83 |
| Limousin | Eduardo Ribeiro | $297.83 |
199 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $40k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $131k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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