Karen Khachanov won. Smart money backed Alexander Blockx (42 ranked wallets, average entry 32¢) and lost. Volume $4.4M. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 77% · No change 21% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $2.1M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 28% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17% · Kamala Harris 5% | $1.6M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 21% · JD Vance 20% · Marco Rubio 9% | $944k |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Rinky Hijikata | Luca Van Assche 89% · Rinky Hijikata 11% | $481k |
| Worlds 2026: Winner | Gen.G 54% · Bilibili Gaming 24% · T1 17% | $433k |
| Taipei Mayor Election Winner | Chiang Wan-an 72% · Puma Shen 29% | $419k |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 38% · Ron DeSantis 13% | $418k |
| Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5) | T1 65% · Karmine Corp 35% | $338k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0xwise | Karen Khachanov | $39k |
| Weaseloftheweek | Karen Khachanov | $37k |
| AssuredAdverts | Karen Khachanov | $16k |
| SkyonX | Karen Khachanov | $12k |
| yesmate | Karen Khachanov | $12k |
| PendulumExchange | Karen Khachanov | $6k |
| saftey-first | Karen Khachanov | $4k |
| 0x713b… | Karen Khachanov | $3k |
| donaldbush | Karen Khachanov | $3k |
| XYZ1337 | Karen Khachanov | $2k |
| alexdave888 | Karen Khachanov | $2k |
| SemyonMarmeladov | Karen Khachanov | $2k |
745 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $156k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $148k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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