Rafael Tosetto won. Smart money backed Younes Lalami Laaroussi (2 ranked wallets, average entry 48¢) and lost. Volume $18k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 32% · IA 9% · IA, KS 8% | $4.2M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $2.4M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 72% · Republican Party 28% | $2.1M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 71% · Republicans Sweep 6% · D Senate, R House 1% | $2.1M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 74% · Ken Paxton (R) 27% | $1.4M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 79% · Mike Rogers (R) 22% | $1.3M |
| Next French Presidential Election | David Lisnard 16% · Jean-Luc Mélenchon 12% · Christine Lagarde 7% | $739k |
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Liquid (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B | Aurora Gaming 19% · Liquid 82% | $546k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Po1yamory | Rafael Tosetto | $381.09 |
| bahn-cuon-baby | Rafael Tosetto | $59.34 |
| thestingsnake | Rafael Tosetto | $39.96 |
| eFMBS | Rafael Tosetto | $38.94 |
| tennismanone | Rafael Tosetto | $30.39 |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9 | Rafael Tosetto | $23 |
| ET65 | Rafael Tosetto | $23 |
| CandleHammerDrums | Rafael Tosetto | $22.80 |
| TheRomanProcurator | Rafael Tosetto | $22.32 |
| brkalpha | Rafael Tosetto | $21.29 |
| tui001 | Rafael Tosetto | $20.36 |
| AD-01 | Rafael Tosetto | $10.94 |
46 wallets held a position at the close. The 28 biggest winners took $753; the 18 biggest losers gave up $1.3k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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