Francesco Maestrelli won. Smart money backed Peter Makk (7 ranked wallets, average entry 25¢) and lost. Volume $18k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 64% · No change 34% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $1.9M |
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań | Sport Lisboa e Benfica 89% · Draw (Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań) 10% · KKS Lech Poznań 1% | $1.6M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 26% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17% · Kamala Harris 4% | $1.5M |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs | Dplus KIA 41% · Bilibili Gaming 59% | $1.1M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 20% · JD Vance 19% · Kamala Harris 4% | $1.1M |
| Sunderland AFC vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb | GNK Dinamo Zagreb 84% · Sunderland AFC 4% | $635k |
| Spread: Warriors (-6.5) | Warriors 40% · Heat 61% | $561k |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 39% · Marco Rubio 22% · Pete Hegseth 0% | $557k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| MadridTime | Francesco Maestrelli | $190.06 |
| 0xa0f2… | Francesco Maestrelli | $150 |
| Limousin | Francesco Maestrelli | $130.41 |
| thestingsnake | Francesco Maestrelli | $88.11 |
| the1prophet | Francesco Maestrelli | $72 |
| Venusian | Francesco Maestrelli | $49.96 |
| Paul973973 | Francesco Maestrelli | $41.67 |
| eFMBS | Francesco Maestrelli | $29.48 |
| juanvi | Francesco Maestrelli | $27.20 |
| 0x0026… | Francesco Maestrelli | $26.00 |
| qrup | Francesco Maestrelli | $14.42 |
| neutralwave23 | Francesco Maestrelli | $12.39 |
60 wallets held a position at the close. The 33 biggest winners took $922; the 27 biggest losers gave up $1.3k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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