Koki Matsuda won. Smart money backed Shintaro Imai (5 ranked wallets, average entry 2¢) and lost. Volume $56k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
Limousin took +$1.8k on Koki Matsuda from 45¢; the biggest loser gave up $3.0k.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| BreakTheBank | $7.5M | $4.1M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 87% · 50+ bps increase 9% · No change 3% | $1.1M |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs | Spirit 60% · FURIA 41% | $558k |
| Pepperdine Waves vs. Oregon Ducks | Pepperdine Waves 41% · Oregon Ducks 59% | $456k |
| Next French Presidential Election | Marine Le Pen 47% · Édouard Philippe 7% · Teddy Riner 2% | $443k |
| Spread: Lions (-2.5) | Lions 53% · Patriots 48% | $403k |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 37% · John McEntee 2% | $400k |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes 8% · No 92% | $386k |
| Will Jensen Huang rejoin NVIDIA by December 31, 2026? | Yes 11% · No 89% | $342k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Limousin | Koki Matsuda | $2k |
| Quanttennis | Koki Matsuda | $1k |
| CandleHammerDrums | Koki Matsuda | $808.91 |
| Venusian | Koki Matsuda | $641.68 |
| 0x5317… | Koki Matsuda | $639.64 |
| 0xa0f2… | Koki Matsuda | $607.94 |
| Kkak97 | Koki Matsuda | $484.56 |
| thirdt1me | Koki Matsuda | $396.44 |
| LightParadox | Koki Matsuda | $367.51 |
| Kkak97 | Shintaro Imai | $232.92 |
| 0x576d… | Koki Matsuda | $201.15 |
| xxxzibit | Koki Matsuda | $149.74 |
129 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $8.2k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $8.5k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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