Alex Michelsen won. Smart money backed Yannick Hanfmann (20 ranked wallets, average entry 23¢) and lost. Volume $213k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
stuttig took +$5.6k on Alex Michelsen from 78¢; the biggest loser gave up $3.0k.
See every winner & loser ↗| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $3.5M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Next French Presidential Election | Marine Le Pen 45% · David Lisnard 12% · Édouard Philippe 8% | $985k |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 27% · Gavin Newsom 8% · Ro Khanna 2% | $873k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 10% · No 91% | $682k |
| Worlds 2026: Winner | Gen.G 63% · Bilibili Gaming 37% | $586k |
| Fed Decision in December? | No change 20% · 50+ bps decrease 1% | $577k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 5% · No 95% | $473k |
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) | Bills 48% · Vikings 53% | $433k |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $416k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| stuttig | Alex Michelsen | $6k |
| 0x9bfe… | Alex Michelsen | $5k |
| Sammybolung | Alex Michelsen | $598.12 |
| thestingsnake | Alex Michelsen | $551.71 |
| shaw | Alex Michelsen | $479.99 |
| 0x479e… | Alex Michelsen | $475.22 |
| KSS-Zz | Alex Michelsen | $385.91 |
| 0x6683… | Alex Michelsen | $331.70 |
| prabam | Alex Michelsen | $329.23 |
| 0x2805… | Alex Michelsen | $299 |
| barocco | Alex Michelsen | $286.98 |
| fvckjumpjanes | Alex Michelsen | $260 |
245 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $20k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $20k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
The smart-money board and the live whale tape — every wallet by name, with its entries — the free layer under this dashboard.
Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.