Carlos Alcaraz won. Smart money backed Alex de Minaur (5 ranked wallets, average entry 6¢) and lost. Volume $553k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 32% · IA 9% · IA, KS 6% | $4.6M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 72% · R Senate, D House 23% · Republicans Sweep 6% | $2.5M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $2.5M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 73% · Republican Party 28% | $2.4M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 76% · Ken Paxton (R) 25% | $1.5M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 82% · Mike Rogers (R) 19% | $1.4M |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A | Natus Vincere 52% · Team Falcons 48% | $1.3M |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert Hurkacz | Lorenzo Musetti 73% · Hubert Hurkacz 27% | $881k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Novelty8 | Carlos Alcaraz | $8k |
| notgoodluck | Carlos Alcaraz | $3k |
| Vetch | Carlos Alcaraz | $3k |
| 0F62 | Carlos Alcaraz | $2k |
| 0000. | Carlos Alcaraz | $1k |
| dmoralez | Carlos Alcaraz | $1k |
| prabam | Carlos Alcaraz | $973.60 |
| ChallengerSpecialist | Carlos Alcaraz | $803.85 |
| Paul973973 | Carlos Alcaraz | $720.53 |
| 0x6683… | Carlos Alcaraz | $709.55 |
| sergiuschz | Carlos Alcaraz | $660 |
| yohan75 | Carlos Alcaraz | $542.55 |
310 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $32k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $30k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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